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Thursday, June 30, 2011

Four Statements that cannot be disputed


1.  You  cannot legislate the poor into prosperity by legislating the wealthy out of prosperity.

2.  What one person receives without working for, another person must work for without receiving.

3. The  government cannot give to anybody anything that the government does not first take from somebody else.

4. 
You  cannot multiply wealth by dividing it.

Monday, May 09, 2011

Special Economic Zones (SEZ’s)


Despite all the controversies, India has rightfully embarked on building new “Urban Centres” in areas earmarked as SEZs. These Urban Centres will provide much needed relief to India’s Mega Cities. They will provide opportunities for urbanites as well as the uneducated, unemployed, unskilled (U3s) from Rural India (Bharat). Situating these SEZ’s on the periphery of existing cities and in Bharat, is inarguably the right solution for the entire country. 

These SEZs will provide opportunities for people:
  • Currently living in India’s congested cities, 
  • Living in Bharat, 
  • Migrating from Bharat to India in search of a better life. 
The challenge is to build them fast, build them well and build till supply catches up with demand. An SEZ in Bharat i.e Rural India, will be a mixture of an Urban Economy, surrounded by a Rural Economy.

The requirement of export orientation only for an SEZ is an unnecessary constraint. The Economic Engine of the SEZ could be anything. Exports and Manufacturing are important, but jobs, any job and affordable housing are MORE IMPORTANT. Any estimate of the number of jobs are spread sheet guesstimates at best. The person who gets a job doesn't care if it is Manufacturing or Export Oriented.

The SEZ's main purpose should be to provide a magnet that will attract the “core” residents, namely the Middle Class (Urban and/or Rural) to move there and in the process provide employment for the Uneducated, Unskilled, Unemployed. It could be a “jobs” oriented SEZ, or a “housing” oriented SEZ, a la Vashi. Vashi was originally not intended to be the bedroom community of Mumbai, however, it flourished only after the extension of the harbour line to Panvel. Now one can hop on a train at Vashi and 55 minutes later arrive at CST (formerly VT). Although industrial employment was a goal at Vashi, for the most part it is bursting (literally) as a satellite to Mumbai for commuters. And while that maybe so, it provides plenty of service-oriented jobs in Vashi as well.

Regardless of its orientation, an SEZ has to provide ancillary amenities like schools, entertainment, retail outlets, medical facilities etc. for the "core" residents, to be motivated to move there; be it skilled people for jobs or commuters.

Figure 2

The whole focus of a "jobs" SEZ ought to be simplified. Attract big companies or a group of industries to establish operations in a zone demarcated as an SEZ and promote the formation of all the things around it that makes for a High Quality of Life for the individuals who reside there. Give companies that wish to establish an operation a Tax Break (like a pre-tax write off) rather than a tax holiday. Tax revenue could be realized from the income of the builders and providers of ancillary services needed to make the SEZ viable.

An outstanding example of an Industrial township in what was once Bharat is the steel city - Jamshedpur. When Tata's set out to establish a Steel Plant, they didn’t set out to build just a steel plant. They set out to build a city and they did. Their Steel Plant was the Economic Engine. And we have Vashi as a "commuter SEZ' example. There maybe some failures, and that is par for the course. Let the market decide where to invest their "construction" money. Let the government focus on facilitating the movement of capital, facilitating equitable land acquisition policies, assist in infrastructure and establish guidelines that protect the environment, safety and hygiene etc. Water and Electricity would be utilized even if the SEZ is a failure. SEZs should be thrown open for any sector.

Land Reform and Infrastructure:

Land for SEZ and Infrastructure to the site are the two big hurdles that Industrialists and Developers face. Acquisition of owned (malki) land has been contentious as experienced in Singur, Nadigram and other places. Current land laws inhibit parties from entering directly into agreement with landowner’s without government intervention. However, there is non-arable, non-forested land owned by the government that is available. This land could be leased or sold to SEZ developers. Land for SEZs and resentment amongst the rural population due to a number of reasons is a major hurdle that is stifling India’s economic progress. Addressing these issues is a must for a achieving the economic goals that will benefit those who have not benefited by liberalization.

Sunday, April 03, 2011

A politically incorrect review of the World Cup Finals

India demonstrated it's Top, Middle and Bottom at the World Cup Finals against Sri Lanka. There was some confusion at the toss and it had to be redone. There was some speculation that the Sri Lankan captain recanted his choice. In any case, Sri Lanka won the toss and elected to bat. India's bowlers (the Bottom of the order) placed a strangle hold over the Sri Lankan  batting, choked their run rate during the first twenty overs and captured two crucial wickets. Sri Lanka's constipated batting  during this period was a crucial part that paid rich dividends later despite the diarrhea of runs during the final  overs. Zaheer, Munaf and Harbajan bowled well. Sreesanth was fodder thrown in resulting in a run frenzy during his spells. For all it's worth, India should have just thrown him into the Arabian Sea and let him swim back to Kerala. But for the 60 odd runs Sri Lanka scored in the last five Batting Power Play overs, they would have been rolled over by the Indian batting Juggernaut and we would have been left with flattened Sri Lankan Chappatis. The match would have ended early, with no drama whatsoever. A score of 250 would have been a cake walk. A Score of 300 would have been a challenge. 274 was just right for the good match it turned out to be. So let it not be forgotten that the initial spell by the Indian bowlers played a key role in setting the stage for a lower total and the later spell set the stage for an interesting match.That has to be appreciated. Sreesanth added grist to the mix besides being a warm body present to make up the eleven. There was talk of why not Arvind and someone even suggested Pathan. In the end it wouldn't have made a difference. Sreesanth and Piyush Chawla were place holders and get to be winners just by being there. Lucky dudes!

The Sri Lankan's walked in chest puffed and confident, having massacred the Indian bowling during the last ten overs. We've got bowling was their attitude. However, all India needed to do was keep the run rate around or at 5 for most of the innings and then finish off by making 275 for a victory.

Sehwag getting out on the second ball he faced was a BIG wicket. Sehwag was rather arrogant asking for a review without batting an eye lid. This was the second time he has done this. On another occasion, his celebrated colleague, Sachin Tendulkar asked his then partner Virat Kohli, at the other end whether his being given out LBW was questionable. Virat must have confirmed the umpire's decision and Sachin accepted the verdict without requesting a review. At the very least Sehwag could have solicited Sachin's opinion. India was expecting an explosive start from Viru, like the one that set the stage for the win over Pakistan. Nevertheless, Viru's loss would only meant India would have to work harder. 

Then Sachin fell at 31. Oh my gosh! He has been caught behind the wickets or in the slips so many times, because he went fishing. Should have waited for the next day. Would have been very relaxing. Visions of India's batting trend of lemmings jumping off a cliff one after another? Are we goners? Train wreck waiting to happen? Another fashion parade of men in blue walking in and walking out? We've seen this before one too many times? Is there life after Sachin? The Sri Lankans' chest puffed out even more? India's hopes took a hit with Sachin's wicket falling. India will have to pull a rabbit out of their helmets.

Somebody Tweeted....RAJINIKANTH IS THERE! HOW CAN WE LOSE? Oh yes, he helped with his eyes he neutralized Murali's spinnas and Malinga's Slingas. Score some for Rajinikanth, my namesake.

With Gambhir and Kohli batting well, hopes began to rise ...momentarily.  When Kohli was caught brilliantly, another gasp. Dhoni walks in. Why Dhoni and not Yuvraj? Dhoni hasn't had a good tournament batting wise, but he has performed well under pressure.  To keep the left right combination going, the commentators speculate, to unsettle the bowlers. Good move! Dhoni said it best, during his post victory interview, something like, pressure was mounting and often times he has come in when pressure was  over the top. This time he felt he could do something about it. It was his moment. With Dhoni and Gambhir cruising, India's hopes rose again. The Sri Lankans shoulders sag, the puff in their chest vanished. Poor Gambhir, there must be a bee in his bonnet. Dhoni counseled him a number of times to take it easy. His run rate, though rather a tad low, was not a problem. He could take his time to score his century for himself and notch one up for the country. Unfortunately, that was not to be, because of the bee? 

By then the crisis stage was over. India was cruising. However, India needed about just as many runs as balls to win. Despite the win within grasp, victory is not assured until it is done, signed and sealed. Tension mounted during the power play when the Gollywog Malinga, gave away just two runs(?) in the first Batting Power Play over. Pressure eased the next over with a four from Dhoni. And then spirits soared when another four followed in the next over and what a finish with a flourish it was, with a six by Dhoni! A well deserved, "Man of the Match".

The finals had its gut wrenching, teeth gnashing, stomach churning, tension ridden, breath taking moments. Hopes soared and then dipped a number of times. Many a flip flops occurred between times of certainty and times of uncertainty. It was one heck of a roller coaster ride. What a victory, what a dash to the finish. Two symbolic finals one against Australia, the world's number one (that's history), then Pakistan, (we hope many more will be played in the near future and beyond), and then the Final Finale!

At the end of it all it was a Match that was! क्या मैच था| 


P.S.  Got this from a Facebook post: DEAR RAJ THACKRAY, A CHANDIGARH LAD, A JHARKHAND CAPT & A DELHI BOY WON D WORLD CUP FOR US & DEDICATED IT TO A MARATHI LEGEND. UR REGIONAL HATRED HAS FAILED. JAI HO. ROCK ON INDIA ;-)

And that goes for Bal Thakur (That was his original last name, shouldn't he be proud of his Marathi roots) as well.


P.P.S. Good thing I was not there. Two Rajinikanth's and two Shastri's in the  same vicinity at the same time would have been more than the Wankede crowd could have handled. The crowd would have gone wild and the World Cup would have to be rescheduled. 

Now for a different perspective:
Country                 Population
Australia                 22 Million
Bangladesh           150 Million
England                  51 Million
India                    1.2 Billion
New Zealand            4.5 Million
Pakistan               176 Million 
South Africa            50 Million
Sri Lanka                20.5 Million
West Indies              4 Million

India has twice the population of the above top contenders put together. Granted about 60% or more of the males are not fortunate enough to have either the resources or physique to qualify for the team. However, with this kind of "demographic dividend", we should be nothing short of dominating the game rather than having to squeeze through at times. Let this be the goal for the next World Cup tournament to be held in Australia and New Zealand. 

P.P.P.S. A Rs. 1 crore ~ $225K award, did that have to be announced at the game? Sure the reward is well deserved. It could have been announced at a felicitation ceremony. Despite our progress we lack a sense of decorum.

At the IPL we call it auction instead of Draft. We say players are bought and sold instead of drafted or traded. Some of the dances in Bollywood movies are so sexually suggestive and the women dressed so scantily dressed, yet there is outrage over the cheer leaders at IPL.

Sunday, January 16, 2011

In praise of Affluentitis



Affluentitis: A privilege that comes from having a significant amount of wealth which enables one to indulge in "conspicuous consumption". Could be misspelled as affluentitus, related affliction - Affluenza.


Conspicuous consumption is not to be confused with "wasteful consumption" which involves needless depletion of non-renewable resources. Conspicuous consumption primarily involves acquisition of luxurious items and partaking in extravagant experiences.

Affluentitis - a condition, not to be confused with Affluenza, which has negative connotations.


People with this privilege are the target of criticism by "Left Leaning" individuals and the envy of those who aspire to acquire it.


Affluentitis can be compared to an additive to the fuel of an engine that propels the "economic" train of a country. The challenge is to make this train long enough so that every individual has the opportunity to hop on board.


A vibrant economy with affluentitis can result in a turbo-charged economy. Skeptics need only look to China. Granted the disparity between the "nouveau riche" and the very poor is stark. Studies show that this is a transient situation. More and more people are being lifted out of poverty and China is well on the path to become the world's #1 economy mid-century, if not sooner.


The good news is that India is predicted to be the world's #2 economy some time this century. The bad news is that there will be about 1.5 Billion plus, people to share that pie. The challenge is to ensure every family is given the opportunity to "earn" their share of the pie.


Affluentitis creates opportunities for artisans. The acquisition of luxury goods provides employment for a number of persons both directly and indirectly. For example a luxurious watch studded with gems involves a number of artisans and the skills involved is intricate. The more expensive the item or experience, greater is the the opportunity for the providers to earn better wages. The caveat however is that this would hold true only if the items acquired are Swadeshi. The penchant for phoren stuff does nothing by way of employment for Desi artisans.


Furthermore what is and what is not "conspicuous consumption" is relative and involves making a moral judgement. For example the acquisition of an air-conditioner by a family in Jaipur, would be considered "conspicuous consumption" by a family living in a hut with no electricity in a village in Rajasthan, where extreme heat is experienced in summer.


Why is it then; when a person who stretches their budget to buy a piece of jewelry as a gift, it is considered reasonable, whereas when a person splurges on an airplane it is much ballyhooed? Relatively speaking, both are inessential and a luxury. Besides the airplane continues to create employment for a raft of highly skilled people. Granted, more people are involved in the jewelry business than in aviation. It only underscores the fact that the goal is to enable more people to be afflicted with nano-affluentitus, so that more jewelry is purchased. And so why not enable more people to buy personal planes for pleasure, like so many people do in the developed countries?


The goal for India is to remove the "artificial barriers" that inhibit affluentitus. Artificial barriers are ones that decree whether one is engaged in legitimate business or in a "business" that breaks the law. Once upon a time there was a ban on importing gold. People engaged in the "business" of bringing in gold were dubbed "smugglers". A change in the laws, resulted in the collapse of a "lucrative" underground activity and legitimized those who continued to engage in this business. One such barrier today is the Land acquisition laws. Other artificial barriers are of the protectionist kind as to who can do what and who can't. Protecting the economy from external "threats" is one issue. Erecting internal barriers results in protecting the weak and stifling the strong. It is better to enable the strong to perform better and give the weak alternative opportunities.


The economic situation and state of technology is far better today than what the US faced in the 1930's. The challenges for India are somewhat similar in that the plight of the poor and the state of the infrastructure is probably worse than what it was in the US at that time. The industrialists of that period were referred to by the pejorative term, "Robber Barons". Many of these "Robber Barons" have left legacies that and it is affluentitis that made such legacies possible.


The much appreciated Taj Mahal is an example of "conspicuous consumption" legacy. After all it was a tribute by one man, albeit a king, to one woman his departed beloved. Today, affluentitis is not just the privilege of the Royalty of the past. It is much more widespread and present in just about every country. For instance even in Cuba, which "inhibits" affluentitis, it is enjoyed by Castro and his coterie. In many instances affluentitis is acquired through unethical means. Needless to say, that should be prevented.


India is going through a period of cognitive dissonance. People hero worship cricketers, but make snide comments about the money they make. On the one hand there is "talk" of double digit growth, but when it comes to execution there are many barriers due to bureaucratic reasons i.e. corruption and anti-affluentitis sentiment which is the prevailing mindset in India. While people are entitled to their opinions, this mindset often results in becoming obstructionist.


Affluentitis is an indelible fact and rather than being slighted, it should be encouraged and applauded when acquired through diligence, hard work and ethical means.


Inherited affluentitis has its merits, as well. Particularly when the inheritors take their windfall to greater heights.


Every family desires and aspires for a better life.  For some it is wishful thinking. Many are willing to put in the effort required and achieve upward social mobility. Affluentitus is the inherent desire of all such families. After all the goal of every parent ought to be to provide a better platform than their own for their kids, from which their kids can launch their careers. Only when opportunities abound and this happens abundantly, will an economy and society flourish.


Saturday, October 02, 2010

The Ayodhya Debate over the destruction of the Babri Masjid


The destruction of the Masjid was a terrible act. An opportunity to preserve the structure and give Hindus the right to worship within was lost.

The verdict was one of compromise, which under the circumstances is the best possible solution to this contentious issue. A total award to either side would have created an outrage among either the Hindus or the Muslims. And since there are three contesting parties, it resulted in a three way split. No community is happy, peace and calm prevails, which might have been otherwise.

Hopefully the Supreme Court will uphold the High Court verdict after going through the motions. Would anyone in their right mind want to tamper with the High Court decision? The arm chair crowd and talking heads will continue to debate for awhile, while the rest of the country will go about business as usual.

A festering issue that precedes Independence
The first recorded incident of violence over the issue between Hindus and Muslims in modern times took place in 1853 (See Note 1). A Hindu sect called the Nirmohis (2) claimed the structure, contending that the mosque stood on the spot where a temple had been destroyed during Babar’s time.

The Mosque was built in 1527. Permission to erect a temple was sought in 1885 and denied.Apparently Hindus used to worship Ram at this site since the late 1700s.

While many temples were destroyed by Mogul rulers all over India and by the Portuguese in Goa, none have been contested the way this particular temple has been. The ASI report does state that a temple did exist on this site. Based on the history of this conflict, it should have been settled in 1947.

In December 1949, idols were put inside the mosque (3). Our Prime Minister Jawaharlal Nehru at that time, didn't  think it was an important enough issue to settle. He presumably shot of a letter and then turned his attention to more pressing matters. Can't really blame him. Who would have thought the issue would continue to fester and flare up? He was focused on Nation Building, constructing his vision of temples of modernization and on implanting his idea of socialism which resulted in License Raj.

Shame on Times of India
 (4)
In India, there is a tendency to dwell on the negative and here is an article in the Times of India if taken at face value indicates that the majority of the Muslim community feels discriminated against. Dissatisfaction is understandable. But reading more into it is uncalled for.

A Historians Perspective (5)

And then you have supposedly noted historian stating that the verdict was politically motivated and supersedes a judicial one based on the laws of the country.
Doesn't she realize that laws themselves are politically defined? As she acknowledges at the very beginning of her reported commentary this issue could have been settled many years ago. But it wasn’t. The dispute predates the birth of India.

Unfounded fears

The very same noted Historian fears that this judgement sets precedence and opens up the Pandora’s Box for many similar claims. But this is not a new dispute and the principle of “Statute of Limitations” can be applied to any new or frivolous claims that surface. True many temples have been destroyed by both Mogul and European invaders, but the Hindu community has by and large accepted this unfortunate situation, except in this particular instance.

A compromise was possible
Many attempts were made to achieve a compromise solution. Despite many altercations and disputes an informal situation was prevalent and could have been the foundation of a workable compromise. All attempts to formalize the situation and work towards a mutually acceptable solution were thwarted by judicial maneuvering. Eventually it got politicized and then reached a point of no return.

Babri Masjid destruction – An act of revolution

Chiddu the Home Minister has gone on record to say that the destruction was a criminal act6. That maybe very well be so. But it was also a revolutionary act undertaken by a mob incited by politicians, all of whom were frustrated and incensed by the law not paying attention to an issue that has been burning prior to the birth of India. As a result a legacy of India’s heritage was ruined.

That aside, a person of his standing should realize that the case being judged was pertaining to the dispute and not the demolition. While he is entitled to his personal views, he ought to refrain from making such comments as the Home Minister. But then he is a politician and politicians can't help but wag their tongues for political gain.

Time to put the past behind us
Unlike Solomon who had to decide on a claim to a baby by two feuding mothers, this is after all a piece of land now, unfortunately. Hopefully the Supreme Court will decide quickly after hearing testimony from all parties concerned and uphold the decision of the High Court.

Here is another view that provides some interesting background and rationale:


Notes:

1. See section on “Conflicts over this site” at:
2. The Nirmohis have been granted 1/3 of the land in this judgement.
3. See Timeline:

Sunday, November 29, 2009

Amendment notification to Noise Pollution

To: Mr. Vijai Sharma,
Secretary to the Government of India,
Ministry of Environment and Forests,
CGO Complex, Lodhi Road,
New Delhi 110 003.

Mr. R. N. Jindal,
Additional Director (CP Division),
Room No. 556, Paryavaran Bhawan,
New Delhi – 11510
E-mail: envisect@nic.in

cc: Sumaira Abdulali - AWAAZ Foundation, E-mail: sumairaabdulali@yahoo.com
cc: Mr. Jairam Ramesh, E-mail: Jairam@vsnl.com

Subj: Amendment notification to Noise Pollution (Regulation & Control) Rules 2000

Dear Mr. Sharma & Mr. Jindal,

I am a resident of rural Uttara Kannada District, Karnataka. I have read the "Supreme Court on Noise" authored by Messrs. R. C. Lahoti & Ashok Bhan.

A friend of mine in Mumbai bemoaned the fact that enforcement of these guidelines have resulted in the demise of many outdoor cultural events, while political and religious infractions are rampant. In rural India, blaring speakers, Air Horns, loud noise made when locking and unlocking vehicles and the jingle of reversing vehicles are major sources of Noise Pollution that are constant – day & night.

Earlier this year I visited Kerala and was aghast at the volume of music emanating from temples. The daily call of the Mullah over the PA system is another issue.

Below are my comments:

Establishing norms that portray India as a Developed Country:
India is maturing and is a major economic power in this region. Economic growth will lift more people out of poverty and enable them to enjoy a better Quality of Life. We must prepare for the future and establish norms that reflect that of a Developed Nation.

Establishing a consistent set of norms that meets the “common denominator” expectations of all citizens for day-to-day life, is easily established. It is the exceptions that are contentious.

Accommodating India’s rich cultural heritage while embracing the future:
The biggest challenge is to maintain India's rich cultural and religious diversity and improve the Quality of Life of all citizens. In addition, conformity should be instituted and applied throughout India with no exceptions.

In maintaining cultural and religious heritage, I recommend norms that were prevalent at the dawn of religion and culture. There were no electrical devices then. However, it is suggested that exceptions be made for specific religious functions as noted below.

Two sets of norms recommended – Daily 24x7 norms and exceptions:
As indicated earlier, a “common denominator” set of guidelines should be established that has 24x7 applicability. This set of norms is devoid of any cultural, political, social or religious bias.

A second set of guidelines should be set up to address the needs of society and would relax the 24x7 norms. Activities that would be heard by the public, that involve noise over a pre-determined level should require permission and a pay for privilege fee. This would constitute a revenue stream.

Issues commented on:
  • The biggest issue is loud speakers (including noise emanating outdoors from the indoor use of speakers) at marriage, cultural, social, political and religious functions.
  • Excessive noise producing instruments and equipment
  • Fire crackers
  • Cultural Music events
  • Enforcement


Loudspeakers:
A common set of rules should apply to all. There should be no differentiation between faith, state and civil issues.

Permission for the use of loudspeakers within acceptable guidelines and timings for Public Meetings, Marriages, Social/Entertainment functions and Religious Discourses, etc. should be available for a fee.

Excessive Noise:
Construction in populated areas should be limited between 8AM and 6PM. Exceptions should be made for pouring concrete at night in populated areas and should require permission.

The use of excessive noise producing instruments like drums and tom toms is another contentious issue. Playing of music through portable PA Systems is now common during processions, like during Ganesh Chaturti. A pay for privilege scheme should be established wherein a fee structure is established depending upon instruments used and the size of the processions. A simple procession during established festivals should require no permission.

Clanging noise made during certain Puja’s such as Krishna Jayanti and House Warming should be allowed using conches, and bells/chimes that have predefined audio characteristics.

The use of personal audio devices on speakers (like mobile phones) in shared public transport vehicles should be banned. Use should be restricted to listening via ear phones. Use of loud ring-tones should also be discouraged. Needless to say, the use of blaring air horns and reversing jingles should be banned. Vehicle and ancillary manufacturers should be required to install muted beeps that signal opening/closing of doors and vehicle reversing.

Fire Crackers:
This is a sensitive issue indeed. Traditionally, it is part of Diwali and Tulsi Puja celebrations that take place in close proximity of each other. Lately, it is becoming part of New Year, Independence Day, Republic Day, marriages and entertainment events (like IPL). In keeping with traditions, one set of noise guidelines should be established to govern the use of fire-crackers (slightly more relaxed to accommodate noise making crackers) on specific days during the Diwali and Tulsi Puja period. Another set of noise guidelines should be established for emerging norms, like for Independence Day, Republic Day and New Years.

All other events should fall under the pay for privilege guidelines. If a party wants to burst crackers during a marriage procession, they ought to acquire permission for the size of procession, instruments involved and fire-crackers and pay the appropriate fee.

Cultural Music Events:
India has a rich heritage of Folk & Classical music. Use of loud speakers at these functions should be governed by the noise guidelines. However, use of acoustic instruments and limited percussion instruments should be permitted into the night at festivals and concerts.

Enforcement:
Finally, these guidelines don’t serve any purpose if they are not enforced and are flagrantly violated. And as indicated earlier, they should be consistent across the country. However, India is a diverse society and it is possible that a set of rules that works for one region is too restrictive for another. Multi-religious, multi-ethnic body should be appointed that recommends exceptions that can be bubbled up to the National Level. This is a people’s issue and people should be actively encouraged to take part in the formulation of these guidelines through a constant process of dialog.


Regards,

Sunday, August 23, 2009

L. K. Advani - The mouse that roars...off & on

Lal Krishna Advani represents the "old Hindustan", that was responsible for the stifling "Nehruvian Rate" (mistakenly called the Hindu Rate) of progress. Until the BJP came to power he was a mouse for the most part. The world has changed drastically. He is totally unqualified to lead Hindustan in the current economic and global environment. He doesn't appeal to youth of the country. Time to pass the mantle to a younger group of people who are more in touch and qualified to deal with the world’s economic environment.

Lal Krishna Advani was born in 1927. http://www.lkadvani.in/eng/content/view/341/256/.

He joined the RSS in 1942. Other than being involved in RSS activities, he makes no mention of any significant role in Hindustan's Independence movement. Most of his "formative political years" were spent in organizing and administrativ activities wherein he established himslef as a good party man. Through the Nehru years he was a party loyalist working his way first in the Bharatiya Jana Sangh (in 1958), which merged with the Janata Party (in 1975) and later became the Bhartiya Janata Party, founded in 1980.

He was elected to the Rajya Sabha in 1970 while with the Jana Sangha. He writes; "In my early speeches in the Rajya Sabha, I articulated my thoughts on some issues that I have subsequently raised in Parliament in one way or the other during the past decades. These were: how to strengthen the unity and integrity of the country; how to safeguard our democratic institutions and make them more effective; why the ruling party must learn to respect the voice of the Opposition; and how to make Centre-state relations smooth and harmonious." In other words, he warmed the bench in the Rajya Sabha and was a "talking head".

He became the BJP in President in 1986, and the hitherto "mouse" began to make some noises….occasionally. He rose to prominence with his Ratha Yatras and probably had something to do with the Babri Masjid demolition. While these allegations probably would not hold up in a court of law, it is hard to believe an RSS member not having any knowledge of an activity that was obviously pre-planned. Either that or he was woefully out of touch with the RSS or lying. Either way….clean bowled on one aspect or the other.

As the Home Minister during the Kandahar hijacking incident, the mouse ducked. He claims that he was not involved in some of the critical decisions taken. So he was not in charge or lying. Either way….clean bowled on one aspect or the other.

He criticized Dr. Manmohan Singh as being the weakest PM India has seen. Things got personal and ugly. Dr. Manmohan Singh was heading up a fragile coalition during his first tenure and has emerged victorious with UPA II. The mouse during the Kandahar episode was vanquished.

The BJP positioned the 2008 election as a choice between Advani and Dr. Manmohan Singh. The mouse roared and lost. The party found another scapegoat to sacrifice and the mouse sat still.

When Jaswant Singh was expelled, the mouse kept quite. No support for a learned and respected colleague! As a prominent member of the party, one has to take a stand either for or against the issue. One can’t sit on the sidelines with their tail between their legs. Either way….clean bowled.

Based on recent events, with the expulsion of Jaswant Singh and side lining of other "thinking" individuals, the BJP has demonstrated a complete lack of "Intellectual capacity" and is portraying itself as a dogmatic party that pays more importance to "Moral Policing" than ascribe to the values that Vajpayee promoted.

Advani is shackled by the BJP ideology (dogma) and its upholding of traditional values, one of them being; "Respect for Elders". Good value no doubt, but the elders should realize that their prime is past and ought to make way for the youth.

So long Advani, time to be the mouse that you are and fade away.

Friday, August 21, 2009

A Politically Incorrect Analysis

The BJP big wigs squatted in Shimla at their "Chintan Baitak" (Aug 19th-22nd, 2009) and agonized over their defeat in the Lok Sabha elections. What ought to have transpired.

Let's start at the top. Advani is a dinosaur. He doesn't appeal to youth of the country. He represents the "old India", that was responsible for the stifling "Nehruvian Rate" of progress. On the other hand, Dr. Manmohan Singh, with all his faults (no charisma, Mr. Mumble, robotic...) is genuine, has a brilliant mind that is honed for the current world economic dynamics and he has a gentle heart.

The BJP's Hindutva angle resonates wherever there is a significant Hindu-Muslim divide like in Gujarat and Karnataka. However, this does not appear to resonate at the National level. And so the BJP has relegated itself to more of a Regional Party with some National Presence. And the Congress has asserted itself as a National Party.

Looking back at the election rhetoric, the Congress harped on its secular credentials and that it has served the country well during its administration. Both are perceived as valid claims, even if its approach to secularism is to treat each religious group differently. And the fact is, the country has done well during the last five years and has weathered the economic downturn.

Rahul Gandhi played a very important role and really hit his stride. He energized the youth and a number of young Congress candidates featured in the news. The BJP on the other hand is shackled by its ideology (dogma) and its upholding of traditional values, one of them being; "Respect for Elders". Good value no doubt, but the elders should realize that their prime is past and ought to make way for the youth. The Congress has positioned Rahul as the successor to the Party Leadership. The BJP has announced no clear heir and the name Modi is mentioned. Another oldie!

The NREGA program is a big boon to the rural Uneducated, Unskilled and Unemployed. That sure must have brought in the Rural Vote. The BJP on the other hand harped on National Security and blowing smoke up the PM's behind, which back fired. It is one thing to take jibes at the PM at cocktail parties and informal gatherings. Things got personal and ugly.

Another factor that hurt the BJP is the emergence of Federalism: Coincident with this election is the establishment of Federalism and strong regional parties that are leading their respective State Governments and focused on their regional issues. Naveen Patnaik's dumping the BJP was a masterful stroke. This emergence of Fedralism represents a maturing of the people of the country. The States should wrest more power from the Center, with Members of Parliament focusing on National Issues like across the board consistency in commercial, legal and education policies, Defense, Foreign Policy, Fiscal/Monetary Policy etc. Right now Delhi grabs too much from the country and has taken the place of the British Crown. Getting funds is not a problem for Sheila Dixit. Efficient execution of programs is her challenge.

What remains to be seen is whether the UPA will work effectively with the non-UPA led states, like Bihar, Orissa, Gujarat, Karnataka etc. The "Duryodhana Complex" is endemic in India where one is not happy with what they have, they want what is not theirs, they are dissatisfied with their own success, and in order to look better, they will put down their opponents. Instead of running faster, and performing better, the focus is on coasting and bashing the opponents/competitors. The fact is that the States have power, they just need to assert it.

Interesting times ahead. Migration away from Vote Bank politics to Development: Rahul Gandhi in his infamous press conference cited Nitish Kumar (Bihar) and Naveen Patnaik (Orissa) as good examples of pro-development and secular leaders. We are a mini-Europe and we need to "devolve power" to the States. It is interesting to note, he could not cite (even if he wanted to) a single Congress Chief Minister that has done good for his/her State, with the exception of Sheila Dixit who leads a tiny "state". The reason cited by some, is that the Congress CM has to get approval from the "high command" on every decision he/she takes. Maharashtra for instance is cited as the worst performing Congress lead State. But the political mandate is clear. People want "Development" and "Jobs".

Based on recent events, with the expulsion of Jaswant Singh and side lining of other "thinking" individuals, the BJP has demonstrated a complete lack of "Intellectual capacity" and is portrating itself as a dogmatic party that pays more importance to "Moral Policing" than ascribe to the values that Vajpayee promoted.

जय हो,

Sunday, May 24, 2009

Let's Get Truly Secular

Upholding secularism was a clarion call in the recent elections. All the non-NDA parties coalesced around this banner pushing the BJP into a corner that it found hard to defend. So given the broad consensus on "secularism", let us get Truly Secular.

True Secularism would mean a consistent "non-denominational" set of laws for all Bharatvasis. Not one set for Hindus, another for Muslims and yet another for Christians. Having a Universal Law that is applied to each citizen regardless of their religious affiliation would be true secularism.

And it is time to separate Faith from State. Faith issues should be devoid of any governmental and political control. For instance the BJP's insistence that the Vande Mataram should be sung in all public schools is unacceptable, and rightly so to non-Hindus. It mentions Goddess Durga and there is subtle reference to her being the "Mother".

As part of being secular the government and politicians should have no say in religious organizations as long as the religious organizations operate within the law and act ethically. There is a hue and cry over Christian organizations flush with cash from foreign sources enticing the desperately poor to embrace Christianity in return for assistance. My heart goes out to the poor, who have no one to turn to and so "sell" their faith for survival. In a secular society people should have the freedom to embrace and practice any religion of their choice provided they are not coerced or forced. One could argue that this "purchasing" of a person's faith is a business deal and one of garnering "market share". And so look at it as a commercial activity and apply laws of commerce. A person willingly "selling" their faith allegiance in return for assistance should be treated as a personal issue. Whether there ought to be anti-conversion laws or not, is a debatable issue. One could consider anti-solicitation laws applicable to this issue. So let’s get secular and debate this issue in court and come to some mutual consensus that is enacted into law. Make this an issue for the courts to decide.

Currently many temple boards have political appointees and the government takes a cut from donations made to a temple. Granted religious organizations should be governed, however this should be done by third party committees consisting of members of their respective congregation. And the same set of rules should be applicable to all religious entities, be it a temple, church, synagogue or mosque.



And there is the issue of monetary assistance being given to poor Muslims who wish to make the journey to Mecca. This is an issue of tax payer money being spent on a religious activity and violates the very tenet of secularism.


No religious artifacts ought to be displayed in Government Offices, unless it is displayed in a personal context in an official's office. i.e. an individual should have the freedom to display articles of their faith at their office or work station.

And so the time has come to be Truly Secular and establish a wall of separation that prevents the intrusion of the Government into Religious and Faith issues. Like wise, specific faith issues should be outside the ambit of the laws. What we need to do is  establish ONE set of laws that govern ALL Bharatvasis regardless of their religious affiliation.

Thursday, October 23, 2008

M. F.Hussain's Paintings

I must admit that I was rather complacent about M.F. Hussain's controversial painting until I received an e-mail with images of his paintings (See Below). I did some googling and came across the site that depicts these and a few other Hussain paintings. 


Bal Thakarey is known for making inflammatory remarks on a number of subjects, and one of his targets is the Muslim community. What Thakeray portrays in his words, Hussain expresses in his paintings. After all a painting speaks a thousand words. To me that puts Hussain and Thakeray in the same box and I hold both of them in equal contempt.


What irked me is that Hussain has scribbled the names of the deities in the paintings leaving no opportunity for a benefit of doubt.


When the Danish cartoons were published, there was mayhem all over the world, there were riots in India (go figure). In Hindustan barring a few assaults on exhibition of Hussain's paintings, and a case against him; that was dismissed by the Supreme Court....Nothing! This speaks for the tolerance of the Indian people.


Granted, the images of these pictures were not published in a newspaper, but here we have a recipient of a Padma Bhushan in 1973, the Padma Vibhushan in 1989, and a person who was nominated to the Rajya Sabha in 1986, producing art that is insulting to Hindus.


In the Supreme Court ruling, "The judges described one of Hussain's controversial paintings as "a work of art," according to the Times of India. "There are many such pictures, paintings, and sculptures, and some of them are in temples also," the court said."


Excuse me, I have not seen a depiction of Durga seemingly having sex with a lion, or a naked Lakshmi with her feet on Ganesha or Saraswati depicted naked anywhere. Yes Hindu deities are depicted topless and there are plenty of sculptures that would be deemed obscene by people. However, they celebrate not denigrate.


Now if the judge/court had said that the paintings are in poor taste, that they are objectionable and offend the Hindu community.....but, we uphold Hussain's right to free speech and expression and we are bound constitutionally to judge him not guilty....I would have accepted the verdict.


And since I am a person who believes in freedom of expression, had he produced paintings that depicted Mohammad or Christ or Mary in compromising positions, I would have given him the benefit of doubt, for after all he is eccentric and one could say a bit insane. But he didn't. This to me is bigotry. Besides these objectionable paintings, he has painted a decapitated Mahatma Gandhi along with Hitler, Marx and Einstein. What is he trying to say here?


In the name of secularism, the "pseudo intellectual" Hindus will rationalize any insult dished out at the Hindu community and uphold a person's right to free speech and expression. That is all very fine and dandy. Widespread destructive agitation is not the answer, at the same time should Hindus just turn the other cheek? What would be a rational response?


In my view Hindus need to express their displeasure with measured responses and by silently protesting any exhibition of his paintings anywhere in the "secular" world. Hindus should make it clear that they are not proud of M.F. Hussain. At every opportunity that presents itself regarding him, prominent Hindustani's should express their displeasure and censure him and point out his bigotry.


Yes, in Hindustan, individuals have a right to free speech and expression, provided it does not incite hatred and violence. This also means that individuals should be prepared to deal with the consequences. In this instance, Hussain has had to leave the country for fear of his life. If he has any semblance of self respect, he should stay away and continue his self imposed exile.


People who hurt the "sentiment" of a community are branded "communalists" in India. Shouldn't Hussain's one-sided views expressed in his paintings be branded communalist as well?


Postscript: Hussain has taken up citizenship of Qatar. The "pseudo intellectuals" are bemoaning this as a great loss for India. Let us not confuse the man and his art. He is a great artist no doubt, but as a man, he has offended the land that made him. Leaving it, whether out of fear or otherwise is appropriate. It is leaving the house he has insulted. If he were to paint Mohammad in bad light in Qatar, they would have his head! Would he dare?



DurgaSaraswati
Lakshmi
Mother India


Mogul King & Brahmin
Einstein, Gandhi, Marx & Hitler
Parvati
Hanuman, Ravana & Sita

Thursday, October 09, 2008

A Doozy of a tale

There is a lesson to be learn't here for India from all of this. Will India learn?

Once upon a time there was a family that lived on a hill. The history of the Amerigo family dates back many generations. Their ancestors braved long and arduous journey and many adversities to arrive at and claim this hill as their very own. The hill they lived on was rich in minerals and the surrounding land was very fertile. The Amerigo family used their good fortunes and innovation to produce all kinds of merchandize consisting of agricultural produce, manufactured goods, minerals etc.

Beyond the Amerigo’s land were a number of Villages. Over the years, healthy trading of goods developed between the Villagers and the Amerigo family. Often times the trade consisted of exchanging items, things like shovels were bartered for apples. This bartering system worked fine until things got complicated. And so it was agreed that the Villagers would buy things from the Amerigo family and pay them with slips of paper and little disks (coins). They called this money and referred to it as currencies. Different Villagers had established their own forms of currencies such as the Pondy, Ponky, Inky, Dinky and Finky. There was also a Pinky, but very few people cared about that. The Pondy was the most dominant currency of them all. To keep things simple, Amerigo family accepted Pondys for the things they sold, and would use Pondys to buy things from the Villagers. This went on for many years, and since the Amerigo family sold more than they bought, they started accumulating more and more Pondys.

The Amerigo family accumulated so many Pondys that they decided to take things easy and buy more from the Villagers. They even stopped making things that they sold and started buying the very same things that they made and sold in the past. Ah, they said, it is cheaper to buy, than to make. Let the Villagers toil and we will reap. The Villagers were only too happy to oblige and over a period of time they started producing more and more of what they used to buy from the Amerigo’s. Soon the Amerigos were buying more than they sold creating an imbalance in trade.

The Amerigos were very good at making weapons and since there was some conflict or the other going on between Villages, they always had the latest and the best weapons to sell. They made sure that they kept this activity alive and well because it brought in a steady stream of money. Besides this activity spawned a host of companies that leveraged the technology that got developed from this defense related activities and the Amerigos felt indestructible. They felt they could innovate themselves out of the imbalance in trade.

By and by, the surplus Pondys that the Amerigo’s accumulated started dipping due to this trade imbalance. Besides, as the Amerigo family grew larger, they needed some way of trading between themselves. Initially they used the Pondys they had, but as that became scarcer, it posed a problem. So one day the Amerigos decided to start printing their own money. They said it was only fair that they have their own money like the Villagers did. They also agreed to back their money with gold like the Villagers did. The deal then was that a specific amount of money was backed by specific quantity of gold. The more gold you had, the more money you could print. They called their money the Doozy. The Doozy? Can’t you think of a better name you might say? Well let me know, but the story must go on. This worked well for the Amerigos, they had a lot of Gold in their land and so they were able to print a lot of Doozys as well.

Eventually, the Amerigo family had so few Pondys that they told the Villagers that they could only pay the Villagers with their Gold backed Doozys. Besides, they said it was only fair that the Villagers accept the Doozy since the Amerigos accepted and still accepted the Pondy. The Amerigo’s had a lot of Gold, so they decided to mine more Gold, keep it in a safe place and print more Doozys.

By and by, the market for weapons started declining and the Amerigos found they had more weapons than there were buyers for. So they thought of another ingenious plan. They labeled some Villagers as bad and evil and one particular Villager; Rusty was made to be the Bad Guy. They put fear into some of the Villagers that were headed by Royalty or Dictators and convinced them they needed protection. And who better to provide it than the Amerigos. And when things quieted down and the demand for weapons diminished, the Amerigos took sides in simmering conflicts to add fuel to the fire. They even engaged in covert operations to provoke conflict where tensions existed. There were always new and improved weapons that made old weapons ineffective and so there was a constant churning of bigger and better weapons. The Bad Guy, Rusty not to be outdone did the same and that resulted in an Arms Race. Some of these weapons were sold, others were not, because they were deemed strategic and would adversely affect the security of the Amerigos if these weapons were to be acquired by Rusty or allies of Rusty from the Villagers that bought them.

And so while the arms race kept a lot of Amerigos employed, the sale of weapons did not offset the opulent lifestyle of the Amerigos. They purchased a lot more from the Villagers than they sold to them and soon there were a lot of Doozys circulating in the Villages. The Amerigos had so much Gold to back the Doozy that it soon dwarfed the Pondy. The Villagers accumulated so many Doozys that they started trading in Doozys amongst themselves. And so the Doozy trade took off like a rocket. The Doozy became the International currency for Trade.

Things went on well for a while until there was less and less gold to be mined. The cost of mining gold exceeded the value of gold itself. Besides storing and guarding all this gold became an expensive proposition. The Amerigos needed Doozys to support their lavish lifestyle and also purchase more goods from the Villagers. So one day, Nukem Amerigo, who was head of the Amerigo family at that time, thought of a great plan. He decided to abandon the Gold Standard and establish other means to acquire Doozys. One was in the form of an IOU to the Villagers. They were told that if you invested in these IOUs called Treasury Bills, they will be paid a handsome interest rate and also the re-payment will be guaranteed. They said that these T-Bills were as good as the Gold Backed Doozy. There were so many Doozys circulating in the Villages, that the Villagers readily agreed. So every once in a while the Amerigos would float an IOU and the Villagers would exchange these IOUs with their Doozys. Another method was an extension of a policy that existed to print more Doozys. Even when the Gold Standard existed, occasionally, the Amerigos needed to print more Doozys, but the gold to back it had not been mined yet. So the Amerigos would write an IOU to their Treasury that controlled the printing of Doozys, with a promise that they would deposit the gold at a future date. And they would keep that promise. But since Nukem did away with the Gold Standard, he came up with another idea. He decided that it was OK to write an IOU to the Treasury once in a while and since this was an IOU, it included an interest component, much like the IOUs that were issued to the Villagers.

And so life went on with IOUs being written to Villagers and occasionally to the Treasury. Whenever the Villagers balked at the number of IOUs being written the Amerigos encouraged them to come invest in Doozyland and even offered some of their assets for sale. Quite a few Villagers did that. Rather than manufacture far away and transport the goods to Doozyland, they set up shop in Doozyland itself.

By and by, the Bad Guy Rusty relented and they met with the Amerigos to smooth each other’ previously ruffled feathers and they agreed to abandon the weapons race. This had a major negative impact on the Amerigos. All of a sudden, there was no need for so many weapons. Besides maintaining these weapons cost money. So the Amerigos thought of another plan. One of the Village Dictators named Sodom, the Amerigos had supported was acting up. He was upset with his neighboring Village, Quiet and wanted to attack them. His beef was that Quiet was secretly dipping into his Village from beneath the ground. Quiet was also an ally of the Amerigos. The Amerigos did not respond to Sodom’s acting up and Sodom interpreted this nonchalance as tacit approval. And so Sodom attacked Quiet. Quiet cried for help and the Amerigos rose to the occasion and thumped Sodom. Quiet was so happy, that they paid the Amerigos handsomely for their help. The Amerigo’s realized that these conflicts are good business. First you sell arms, then you create conflict, then you take sides and finally you have the one you helped pay you. Of course you make sure you help only the ones who are capable of paying.

Time went by and there were no major wars to participate in and this got the Hawks in the Amerigo family worried. Then a major disaster struck. Some renegades, infiltrated the Amerigo estate with stolen planes and crashed them into a few Amerigo buildings. Everyone was aghast and condemned this barbarous act. It was later ascertained that this suicide mission was carried out by a group of terrorists known as the Quacks. However, there was a problem. This attack was by a group of renegades, the Quacks and not by a Village. Besides the Quacks that attacked the Amerigos were hiding out in Argone Village that the Amerigos helped in fighting the Bag Guy Rusty. Furthermore, the Amerigos had given this very group of Quacks, weapons to fight with the Argone Villagers against the Bad Guy Rusty. Nevertheless, the Amerigos went after the Quacks. But this did not result in a war that would use up a lot of weapons. So the Amerigos set about manufacturing another bad guy. Sodom, who they thumped before was frequently thumbing his nose at the Amerigos. He even threatened to kill the Amerigo head at one time. The Amerigos seized this opportunity; they claimed Sodom had amassed a lot of weapons, that he was a friend of the Quacks and needed to be taught a lesson. And Sodom’s village was rich and once they liberated the Villagers from their evil dictator, they would only be too happy to pay the Amerigos back. So they unleashed a rain of bombs on Sodom’s palaces, his bases and his weapon installations. After the rain of bombs, they commenced ground operations; they neutralized Sodom’s forces, went after him and captured him. Butch Amerigo, the head of the Amerigo family at that time, proclaimed that the Mission as Accomplished and that Sodom would be tried for his bad deeds. Unfortunately, for Butch, things didn’t go as planned. Removing Sodom opened a can of worms, two street gangs – the Sheets and the Sooners, of Sodom’s Village; started fighting amongst themselves. This fight had been going on for over a thousand five hundred years, ever since the death of Marmalade, who both proclaimed as their Messiah, and as numero Uno. But they could never agree on who was Numero Dos. This thousand five hundred year conflict was “put on hold” forcibly by Sodom. With him out of the way, all hell broke loose. Meanwhile, a number of Quacks being chased in Argone Village decide to join in the melee and the fighting escalated. Unfortunately, the Amerigos were caught in the crossfire and having stuck their feet in there, tried to bring some sense to the situation. Much as they tried, this conflict went on and on and on and some claim that having started more than a thousand five hundred years ago, it is quite possible that it will go on for another hundred years or so.

Anyway, to get back to our Doozy story, the costs of fighting Sodom and trying to bring about a peaceful resolution to the Sheets-Sooner conflict cost the Amerigos a lot of lives and money. This was more than anyone bargained for. To fund the war, Amerigo issued more and more IOUs. Villagers who were flush with Doozys exchanged their Doozys for these IOUs.

Meanwhile, the Amerigo family was hurting as well. Johnny “Come Lately” Amerigo pointed out to Butch Amerigo that he better do something for his family as well. Many were in dire need of Doozys, jobs were getting scarcer and scarcer. The Amerigo dream of a white picket fence and a chicken in every pot was fast receding and Johnny suggested that they look into financing the Dream. Butch thought it was a great idea. Just about every idea that was proposed to Butch was proclaimed a good idea. So he authorized a number of IOUs to be given to the Treasury; some money for the war, some for the other good ideas that were presented to him and one for money that was loaned to Johnny to fund the Amerigo Dream. Johnny in turn accepted responsibility for the Big IOU written on his behalf with the understanding that we would loan money to the family members who would buy houses. The families wrote Johnny a lot of Lil IOUs, with the understanding that they would pay Johnny a slightly higher interest than Johnny had to pay the Treasury and eventually return all the money. Johnny would keep the difference as Management Fees and when things improved, the family members would pay Johnny back the principal and Johnny would pay the Treasury. And so Johnny went about loaning money right and left at a slightly higher interest rate and collecting a lot of Lil IOUs. At times he even loaned the money at a lower interest rate with the stipulation that the unpaid interest would be added to the principal. What has been termed sub-prime interest is a “Pay Less Now and Owe More Later” scheme. There was another catch too. You paid less now and then the interest rate increased after two or three years and one landed up paying more on “ owe more” later!

This resulted in a housing boom. Things were hunky dory for a while. The housing industry employed a lot of people. Demand was up, house prices were up, and loans were being granted to just about anyone who asked for one. Didn’t have a job? No problemo. Bad credit history? No problemo. No down payment? No problemo. The loan was made out to be more than the value of the house and the excess money was retained by the lender as down payment.

But the post-Sodom conflict kept going and going and going and the costs kept mounting and mounting and mounting. Meanwhile Johnny who had taken responsibility for the Big IOU to the Treasury, decided to make a quick buck, he met with some Villagers with a lot of money and convinced them to buy a lot of the Lil IOUs. His clinching point was that some these Lil IOUs paid more interest than the Treasury IOUs and therefore more attractive. Other IOUs – “The Pay Less Now – Owe More Later” ones he argued grew fatter with the passage of time and gave an even bigger return. Technically, Johnny should have returned the money he received back to the Treasury to pay down the Big IOU, but he decided to keep some for himself and loan some of the money he received to more of the Amerigo family. And so he accepted more Lil IOUs and as before he bunched them up and sold bundled lil IOUs to more Villagers.

Unfortunately, things continued to get rough and the Amerigo families, who borrowed from Johnny, ran out of Doozys and stopped paying the interest on their home loans. Which meant the Villagers who bought the IOUs stopped receiving interest as well. In the meantime Johnny having sold bunched up IOUs a couple of times, not only ran out of money to loan, he also lost track of how many times he re-loaned money he received for selling bunched up lil-IOUs. With people defaulting right and left, Johnny cried “Uncle” and said he can no longer make good the promise to payback the Big IOU he took responsibility for.

And so the Treasury got stiffed and so did the Villagers that dealt with Johnny. Besides this put the Treasury in a real pickle. The Treasury still has to pay the Villagers that received the Big IOU that Johnny was responsible for. And there are all those Villagers who bought those bunched up lil IOUs, that Johnny sold them.

The Treasury was faced with a double jeopardy if it were to make good the IOUs Johnny handed out as well. That would mean paying for the same loan more than once. Or the Treasury could say, Johnny’s problem is not our problem. That is Johnny’s problem. Meanwhile, the Amerigo family started hurting more because they were addicted to the “buy now, pay later” lifestyle. And with Johnny having run out of money to lend, their source of money to “buy now” dried up. So the Treasury could either give Johnny more money with strict instructions to lend to only those families that are financially responsible, and who can pay back the loan, or find another Johnny or Jane.

The Amerigo family decided to do a little of both. Not paying some of Johnny’s creditors would hurt the future sales of T-Bills. The Villagers would interpret Johnny as an intermediary, a shadow that the Treasury created to absolve itself of any guarantee. After all Johnny was a trusted member of the family and despite the fact that he took a cut, he did do what the family asked him to do. So the Amerigos wrote the Treasury another BIG IOU, to bail Johnny out and put some more money into lenders hands to lend to members of the family who had the capability to pay back.

This solved only part of the problem. There were a lot of members of the families who lost their jobs because the Amerigo family decided it was cheaper to buy than to make. These families had no source of income and could not qualify for any loans under the new guidelines.

Some in the Amerigo family believed that in helping the families that have assets will result in these “asset rich” families creating new jobs. These new jobs in turn will help the families with little or no assets. Others in the Amerigo family believed that they should take money from the “asset rich” family and give it to the families with little or no assets. Both sides believed that bringing jobs back to Doozyland is the answer.

The discussion on how to bring jobs back to Doozyland goes on, while the number of unemployed members of the Amerigo family keeps growing and growing and growing.

Some say that this too will pass and that there will be a happy time ahead. Some feel that things will get a lot worse before things will get better.

Yes there are Happy Times ahead and that will be addressed in Part II of the story…..stay tuned.

But meanwhile, the moral of this story is that there are many issues that the Amerigo family has to wrestle with:

  • How long can you get by, by borrowing? You can, as long as you earn enough to pay back the loan and have some money left over to pay for other essential items.
  • Will a point be reached when the Amerigo family has borrowed more than they can afford to pay off? Every year the interest component of the Amerigo family increases leaving less and less to be spent on essentials.
  • How long can the Amerigo’s keep buying because it is Cheaper to Buy - than to Make? The answer the “experts” suggest is that the Amerigo’s are an innovative lot and that they are a good at providing the Next New, New Thing. The Amerigos always come up with something new that none of the Villages produce and that will provide the new jobs. Well, as it turns out the Amerigos invent some nifty products. But the manufacturing of those nifty products is done in far flung Villages where it is cheaper to manufacture.
    Can the Amerigos continue to rely on innovation to provide abundant jobs?
  • Well some pundits decry the education system saying it is not producing enough qualified people to fuel innovation. Some Villages are better at that and there are many who wish to come to Doozyland to work on the Innovation Train. The pundits claim that if Amerigo produced more qualified people then that would mean less reliance on Villagers. But what about the “Joe-Six-Pack”, who is not interested in books. He is interested in using his brawn instead of his brains. It appears there are a lot of “Joe-Six-Packs” out there and some in the Amerigo family identify with them. Wink. Wink.
  • How long will Villagers accept the Doozy as payment for their goods? This is a Catch-22 situation. The Amerigo family is a big consumer and as long as that is the case, sellers don’t mind accepting Doozys. Besides lots of Villagers have a stash of Doozy’s and if the Doozy Trade collapse, so will the value of the Doozy. Everyone looses. So the Villagers prop up the Doozy so that it doesn’t wipe away the value of their Doozy holdings.

Thursday, May 29, 2008

BJP Wins Big In Karnataka

For a party that had just two members in 1985, the BJP has emerged just three short of forming a government in Karnataka. The BJP won four seats in 1989, 40 in 1994, 44 in 1999, 79 in 2004 and 110 in the latest election.

The JD (S) that betrayed the BJP was swept away on its path to oblivion with just 28 seats. The JD (S) is lead by a bunch of thugs and disreputable people which includes Deva Gowda, who managed to become India’s PM for a few years and his two sons, Revanna who is a goonda and Kumaraswamy, who is OK, but looks the other way regarding his father’s and brother’s activities and tactics. The Indian National Congress (INC) fared better than the previous election winning 80 seats as opposed to 65 previously. The Communist Party did not win a single seat! Karnatakan’s are smart!

What we see here is a consolidation towards the two National parties, with support for the regional party JD (S) shrinking. The BJP needs three independents to obtain the 113 members to form the government. There are six independent candidates up for grabs; the King makers in this election. If the INC and JD (S) join hands again and get five independents to support them, we could see a throw back to the original coalition that took place after the last election. It would be a sad state of affairs if that were to happen. The JD (S) lacks character and is willing to prostitute itself. The independents could be bought. The question then is whether the INC will pimp itself to power just to thwart BJP’s aspiration.

Someone mentioned that yesterday Dev Gowda admitted defeat and is willing to sit in the opposition and today he is sending feelers to the INC to join hands to form a government. That is Dev Gowda for you. If he didn’t flip flop or morph in pursuit of power, it would be out of character for him.

The phenomenal rise of the BJP can be attributed to their focus on progress, anti-terrorism, tailoring their messages to the issues facing each constituency and their phenomenal volunteer organization. The recent bomb blasts in Jaipur, Hubli and the arrest of a terrorist suspect in Belgaum, helped them. And they gained mileage by blaming the UPA for the 7+% inflation rate the country is experiencing.

The INC on the other hand, stuck to its age old tactics of divisive politics under the garb of secularism by pandering to the Muslims and minorities, promising color TVs to the people with Below Poverty Line (BPL) cards, plying people with liquor prior to the elections and claiming to be the benefactor of the poor. Karnataka is a prosperous State, with natural resources (iron ore, manganese), rich soil, thriving horticulture (cashew, coconuts, tea, coffee, aracanut, too much sugarcane), and industry. Except for a small region in the Northeast, you don’t see abject poverty in Karnataka. And if you do, chances are they are migrants from another state. Jobs is foremost in people's minds, especially with the youth. A newspaper columnist in the Hindu, which typically leans towards the Congress wrote, "a dysfunctional, unexciting, unexacting, non-congenial working environment" was one of the factors that led to INC’s inability to perform and gain majority. Karnataka used to be a stronghold for the INC. The older generation voted, and continues to vote for the INC. The younger generation is not enamoured by the Nehru/Indira Gandhi legacy. Rahul Gandhi is seen more as a celebrity mascot in the South, than a serious political figure. The aura is gone the lustre has faded. While there always will be people who expect and want handouts, what people really want is performance not promises.

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

Cow Power - Milk, Methane, Manure, Medicines & More


Gobar (Cow dung) Gas is not new to India. It was pioneered here in the 70's and adopted by individual families that owned cows mostly in Rural India. My Aunty who lived in the heart of Mangaluru had one since she had a pair of cows in her cowshed. The cows provided her enough milk for the household and her gobar gas plant produced enough gas to do all her cooking. Subsequently it no longer became economical to rear cows in the heart of the town. The gas plant now unused is still there.

All of a sudden the West has discovered "Gobar Gas" - see related Links below (1, 2), and it is taking off in a big way. A friend of mine would say that anything successful on a small scale becomes an attractive business proposition if it scales. Large utility companies like PG&E (3) in the US are entering this field and are planning to produce up to 3 billion ft3 of methane per year, enough to produce electricity for about 50,000 homes in central and northern California. Getting rid of cow dung used to be a problem for the dairy industry in the US, now they are realizing there is money to be made from the sludge – wealth from waste!

The Indian Diary Industry claims that India overtook the US in 1998 to become the world's #1 Milk producer (4 & 5). Since then the top two producers of milk has been either India or the US, with China being #3. Cow dung is not wasted in India. It is used as a fertilizer and as a cooking fuel. Other uses are for flooring and wall "plastering" of rural huts, and I've seen it being used as as a disinfectant for cleaning floors many years ago in my grandmother's house. Now it sells for upwards of Rs. 300 per tonne. Unlike the US there are competing uses for cow dung in India.

Besides milk and methane, another aspect overlooked and ignored by India, in its race to modernize is the fact that cows are the world's most efficient "mulching" machines! You feed them vegetable and organic waste and in about 24 hrs, you have fully processed rich fertilizer. It was Swami Chinmayanada who noted that there is an excellent way to deal with old cows and oxen and that is to let them graze in corrals, where they would trample/feed on organic waste and produce valuable manure.

Believe it or not people drink diluted cow urine for its medicinal effect. Cow urine and cow dung are used in some Ayurvedic preparations. Note this must come from cows of Indian breed only.

Cow urine mixed with other natural ingredients makes for an effective pesticide. (6)

And finally, for beef lovers, it turns out the best beef comes from retired bulls at least sixteen years of age! (7)

And so here we have in the land of the "sacred cow" a gem of an idea, which was known to the illiterate and enlightened villager. Educated agriculturists ignorant of "nature's ways" have paid no heed to this "natural gift". And to quote my friend again...it is all a matter of scaling this "natural gift" to make it a viable business venture that would serve a larger section of India's population.

Related Links:
1. http://www.theregister.co.uk/2008/03/05/bovine_biogas_plant/
2. http://postcarboncities.net/node/444
3. http://www.eere.energy.gov/state_energy_program/project_brief_detail.cfm/pb_id=1167
4. http://www.indiadairy.com/ind_world_number_one_milk_producer.html
5. http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/bizchina/2007-07/31/content_6005196.htm
6. http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2003/11/21/stories/2003112102650100.htm
7. http://www.time.com/time/nation/article/0,8599,1691115,00.html